Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.861424 2.246479 2.662710 3.142891 3.678401 4.254237 4.917197
2025-02-02 1.297257 1.806372 2.406771 3.152944 4.041537 5.052816 6.277543
2025-02-09 0.868124 1.409776 2.108168 3.039707 4.215793 5.619813 7.390830
2025-02-16 0.582450 1.115227 1.867466 2.940076 4.366526 6.139936 8.452495
2025-02-23 0.411740 0.930507 1.729235 2.937706 4.616807 6.774011 9.661343
2025-03-02 0.277184 0.757163 1.568587 2.871801 4.760255 7.261315 10.688488
2025-03-09 0.215681 0.690757 1.555677 3.007974 5.176600 8.109943 12.194131
2025-03-16 0.150124 0.589190 1.463168 3.006681 5.388488 8.683520 13.348682
2025-03-23 0.121394 0.558005 1.485794 3.182777 5.859812 9.618447 14.997899
2025-03-30 0.092805 0.513289 1.473788 3.296818 6.238628 10.431162 16.496767
2025-04-06 0.066193 0.458175 1.429965 3.349415 6.521196 11.111414 17.825612
2025-04-13 0.040713 0.385150 1.332874 3.296550 6.632205 11.544849 18.819914
2025-04-20 0.027393 0.346671 1.305669 3.369659 6.951001 12.295739 20.283955
2025-04-27 0.017530 0.311061 1.277207 3.436425 7.260643 13.040067 21.753166
2025-05-04 0.007725 0.251032 1.171762 3.343624 7.301326 13.385877 22.666736
2025-05-11 0.002600 0.200237 1.073271 3.250520 7.331861 13.711998 23.553446
2025-05-18 0.000808 0.170620 1.025657 3.254488 7.524370 14.283796 24.797919
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.136324 0.949364 3.187003 7.586013 14.653035 25.752491
2025-06-01 0.000008 0.130650 0.970278 3.334631 8.032448 15.624719 27.595703
2025-06-08 NaN 0.110047 0.927906 3.334035 8.211002 16.180466 28.836629
2025-06-15 NaN 0.109738 0.966300 3.523150 8.739332 17.293587 30.909747
2025-06-22 NaN 0.103172 0.976395 3.645451 9.147761 18.223009 32.721637
2025-06-29 NaN 0.091568 0.959868 3.701836 9.435003 18.963867 34.262062